William & Mary Tribe 79, Charleston Cougars 88
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-05 · Winner: Charleston Cougars
Charleston Cougars defeated William & Mary Tribe 88–79 on 2026-01-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 14:01 swung win probability 64% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why William & Mary Tribe lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary Tribe | 32 | 47 | 79 |
| Charleston Cougars | 46 | 42 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 14:01 swung win probability 64% → 97%.
Why William & Mary Tribe lost
- Lost H1 32-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 14:01 (win probability 64% → 97% for the home side).
- Shot 38.3% eFG vs a 55.1% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary Tribe | 8–0 | H1 15:45 | 66% → 35% |
| Charleston Cougars | 8–0 | H1 12:44 | 42% → 72% |
| William & Mary Tribe | 14–0 | H2 17:04 | 99% → 69% |
| Charleston Cougars | 10–0 | H2 14:01 | 64% → 97% |