UNC Wilmington Seahawks 87, North Carolina A&T Aggies 78
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-29 · Winner: UNC Wilmington Seahawks
UNC Wilmington Seahawks defeated North Carolina A&T Aggies 87–78 on 2025-12-29 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 6:12 swung win probability 56% → 4%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why North Carolina A&T Aggies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 42 | 45 | 87 |
| North Carolina A&T Aggies | 47 | 31 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 6:12 swung win probability 56% → 4%.
Why North Carolina A&T Aggies lost
- Lost H2 31-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 13:31 (win probability 69% → 18% for the home side).
- Outscored 27-17 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 10-5.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina A&T Aggies | 12–0 | H1 10:53 | 54% → 91% |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 9–0 | H2 13:31 | 69% → 18% |
| North Carolina A&T Aggies | 8–0 | H2 9:02 | 12% → 56% |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 8–0 | H2 6:12 | 56% → 4% |