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UNC Greensboro Spartans 78, Samford Bulldogs 87

NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Samford Bulldogs

Samford Bulldogs defeated UNC Greensboro Spartans 87–78 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 5:38 swung win probability 65% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UNC Greensboro Spartans lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
UNC Greensboro Spartans413778
Samford Bulldogs503787

Win probability

Samford Bulldogs win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Samford Bulldogs) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 5:38 swung win probability 65% → 94%.
Why UNC Greensboro Spartans lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Samford Bulldogs9–0H1 15:5758% → 86%
UNC Greensboro Spartans8–0H1 9:2787% → 61%
Samford Bulldogs10–0H1 5:3865% → 94%
Samford Bulldogs8–0H2 13:4479% → 98%
Samford Bulldogs10–0H2 5:3889% → 100%
Samford Bulldogs8–0H2 2:06100% → 100%
UNC Greensboro Spartans10–0H2 0:30100% → 100%

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