East Tennessee State Buccaneers 76, Mercer Bears 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated East Tennessee State Buccaneers 82–76 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 13:54 swung win probability 92% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why East Tennessee State Buccaneers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 35 | 41 | 76 |
| Mercer Bears | 49 | 33 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 13:54 swung win probability 92% → 100%.
Why East Tennessee State Buccaneers lost
- Lost H1 35-49 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 13:54 (win probability 92% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 23-11 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 8–0 | H2 13:54 | 92% → 100% |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 9–0 | H2 11:25 | 100% → 94% |