VMI Keydets 61, Samford Bulldogs 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-26 · Winner: Samford Bulldogs
Samford Bulldogs defeated VMI Keydets 80–61 on 2026-02-26 in NCAA Men's play, a 19-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 12:12 swung win probability 86% → 45%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why VMI Keydets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI Keydets | 36 | 25 | 61 |
| Samford Bulldogs | 36 | 44 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 12:12 swung win probability 86% → 45%.
Why VMI Keydets lost
- Lost H2 25-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H2 0:19 (win probability 97% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 43.2% eFG vs a 49.0% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI Keydets | 12–0 | H1 12:12 | 86% → 45% |
| Samford Bulldogs | 13–0 | H2 0:19 | 97% → 100% |