Samford Bulldogs 86, Mercer Bears 89
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated Samford Bulldogs 89–86 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 12:38 swung win probability 46% → 78%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Samford Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samford Bulldogs | 41 | 45 | 86 |
| Mercer Bears | 44 | 45 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 12:38 swung win probability 46% → 78%.
Why Samford Bulldogs lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 12:38 (win probability 46% → 78% for the home side).
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 9–0 | H1 12:38 | 46% → 78% |