Samford Bulldogs 78, The Citadel Bulldogs 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Samford Bulldogs
Samford Bulldogs defeated The Citadel Bulldogs 78–75 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 12:57 swung win probability 64% → 8%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why The Citadel Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samford Bulldogs | 31 | 47 | 78 |
| The Citadel Bulldogs | 34 | 41 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 12:57 swung win probability 64% → 8%.
Why The Citadel Bulldogs lost
- Lost H2 41-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 12:57 (win probability 64% → 8% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samford Bulldogs | 10–0 | H1 3:10 | 76% → 32% |
| The Citadel Bulldogs | 11–0 | H2 19:32 | 32% → 81% |
| Samford Bulldogs | 8–0 | H2 17:46 | 81% → 42% |
| Samford Bulldogs | 11–0 | H2 12:57 | 64% → 8% |
| Samford Bulldogs | 11–0 | H2 6:26 | 15% → 0% |