Chattanooga Mocs 94, Mercer Bears 90
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Chattanooga Mocs
Chattanooga Mocs defeated Mercer Bears 94–90 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 2:41 swung win probability 72% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercer Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Mocs | 44 | 50 | 94 |
| Mercer Bears | 39 | 51 | 90 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 2:41 swung win probability 72% → 0%.
Why Mercer Bears lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 2:41 (win probability 72% → 0% for the home side).
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Mocs | 8–0 | H1 2:44 | 50% → 17% |
| Mercer Bears | 8–0 | H2 16:42 | 16% → 53% |
| Mercer Bears | 9–0 | H2 11:10 | 38% → 89% |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 10–0 | H2 2:41 | 72% → 0% |