Mercer Bears 70, The Citadel Bulldogs 54
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated The Citadel Bulldogs 70–54 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 16-point result. A 14-0 road team run ending at H2 6:33 swung win probability 70% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why The Citadel Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 18 | 52 | 70 |
| The Citadel Bulldogs | 25 | 29 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 road team run ending at H2 6:33 swung win probability 70% → 0%.
Why The Citadel Bulldogs lost
- Lost H2 29-52 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H2 6:33 (win probability 70% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 40.6% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 8–0 | H2 13:14 | 83% → 38% |
| Mercer Bears | 14–0 | H2 6:33 | 70% → 0% |