Samford Bulldogs 82, East Tennessee State Buccaneers 72
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Samford Bulldogs
Samford Bulldogs defeated East Tennessee State Buccaneers 82–72 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 16-0 road team run ending at OT 0:31 swung win probability 79% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why East Tennessee State Buccaneers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samford Bulldogs | 38 | 30 | 14 | 82 |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 37 | 31 | 4 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 road team run ending at OT 0:31 swung win probability 79% → 0%.
Why East Tennessee State Buccaneers lost
- Lost OT 4-14 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at OT 0:31 (win probability 79% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 45.1% eFG vs a 55.3% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 31-17 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samford Bulldogs | 10–0 | H1 10:19 | 59% → 22% |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 9–0 | H1 4:47 | 23% → 57% |
| Samford Bulldogs | 16–0 | OT 0:31 | 79% → 0% |