East Tennessee State Buccaneers 87, VMI Keydets 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: East Tennessee State Buccaneers
East Tennessee State Buccaneers defeated VMI Keydets 87–70 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 8:33 swung win probability 65% → 18%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why VMI Keydets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 40 | 47 | 87 |
| VMI Keydets | 33 | 37 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 8:33 swung win probability 65% → 18%.
Why VMI Keydets lost
- Lost H2 37-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 8:33 (win probability 65% → 18% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 12–0 | H1 8:33 | 65% → 18% |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 10–0 | H2 17:15 | 25% → 2% |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 11–0 | H2 6:05 | 8% → 0% |