Mercer Bears 49, Samford Bulldogs 69
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Samford Bulldogs
Samford Bulldogs defeated Mercer Bears 69–49 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 20-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 15:01 swung win probability 55% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercer Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 22 | 27 | 49 |
| Samford Bulldogs | 40 | 29 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 15:01 swung win probability 55% → 84%.
Why Mercer Bears lost
- Lost H1 22-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 15:01 (win probability 55% → 84% for the home side).
- Shot 30.5% eFG vs a 53.3% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samford Bulldogs | 9–0 | H1 15:01 | 55% → 84% |
| Samford Bulldogs | 9–0 | H1 12:57 | 75% → 94% |