Mercer Bears 75, Chattanooga Mocs 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Chattanooga Mocs
Chattanooga Mocs defeated Mercer Bears 79–75 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 9:34 swung win probability 12% → 70%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercer Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 37 | 38 | 75 |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 34 | 45 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 9:34 swung win probability 12% → 70%.
Why Mercer Bears lost
- Lost H2 38-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 9:34 (win probability 12% → 70% for the home side).
- Shot 36.2% eFG vs a 53.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Mocs | 8–0 | H1 2:37 | 22% → 55% |
| Mercer Bears | 10–0 | H2 12:26 | 69% → 13% |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 10–0 | H2 9:34 | 12% → 70% |