VMI Keydets 81, Mercer Bears 95
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated VMI Keydets 95–81 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 14-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 13:08 swung win probability 93% → 45%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why VMI Keydets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI Keydets | 37 | 44 | 81 |
| Mercer Bears | 43 | 52 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 13:08 swung win probability 93% → 45%.
Why VMI Keydets lost
- Lost H2 44-52 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 3:15 (win probability 55% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 22-13 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-8.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI Keydets | 8–0 | H1 8:37 | 84% → 56% |
| VMI Keydets | 11–0 | H2 13:08 | 93% → 45% |
| Mercer Bears | 8–0 | H2 3:15 | 55% → 100% |