UNC Greensboro Spartans 77, Mercer Bears 95
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated UNC Greensboro Spartans 95–77 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Men's play, a 18-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at H1 7:17 swung win probability 45% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UNC Greensboro Spartans lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 29 | 48 | 77 |
| Mercer Bears | 43 | 52 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at H1 7:17 swung win probability 45% → 93%.
Why UNC Greensboro Spartans lost
- Lost H1 29-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at H1 7:17 (win probability 45% → 93% for the home side).
- Shot 45.7% eFG vs a 53.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 8–0 | H1 18:15 | 55% → 81% |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 8–0 | H1 15:40 | 81% → 54% |
| Mercer Bears | 15–0 | H1 7:17 | 45% → 93% |
| Mercer Bears | 11–0 | H2 17:10 | 98% → 100% |