Chattanooga Mocs 64, Samford Bulldogs 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-24 · Winner: Samford Bulldogs
Samford Bulldogs defeated Chattanooga Mocs 75–64 on 2026-01-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 13:21 swung win probability 26% → 69%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Chattanooga Mocs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Mocs | 32 | 32 | 64 |
| Samford Bulldogs | 32 | 43 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 13:21 swung win probability 26% → 69%.
Why Chattanooga Mocs lost
- Lost H2 32-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 7:10 (win probability 40% → 82% for the home side).
- Outscored 23-14 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samford Bulldogs | 8–0 | H1 17:27 | 51% → 78% |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 9–0 | H1 15:21 | 78% → 46% |
| Samford Bulldogs | 11–0 | H1 7:10 | 40% → 82% |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 8–0 | H2 18:50 | 80% → 42% |
| Samford Bulldogs | 8–0 | H2 13:21 | 26% → 69% |
| Samford Bulldogs | 9–0 | H2 0:48 | 99% → 100% |