The Citadel Bulldogs 55, East Tennessee State Buccaneers 84
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-23 · Winner: East Tennessee State Buccaneers
East Tennessee State Buccaneers defeated The Citadel Bulldogs 84–55 on 2026-01-23 in NCAA Men's play, a 29-point result. A 19-0 home team run ending at H1 12:06 swung win probability 40% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why The Citadel Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel Bulldogs | 27 | 28 | 55 |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 49 | 35 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 19-0 home team run ending at H1 12:06 swung win probability 40% → 95%.
Why The Citadel Bulldogs lost
- Lost H1 27-49 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 19-0 run ending at H1 12:06 (win probability 40% → 95% for the home side).
- Shot 46.2% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 19–0 | H1 12:06 | 40% → 95% |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 11–0 | H1 0:05 | 97% → 100% |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 9–0 | H2 3:55 | 100% → 100% |