UNC Greensboro Spartans 85, VMI Keydets 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: UNC Greensboro Spartans
UNC Greensboro Spartans defeated VMI Keydets 85–78 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 5:36 swung win probability 72% → 33%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why VMI Keydets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 38 | 47 | 85 |
| VMI Keydets | 33 | 45 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 5:36 swung win probability 72% → 33%.
Why VMI Keydets lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 12:06 (win probability 19% → 0% for the home side).
- Outscored 23-13 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 9–0 | H1 5:36 | 72% → 33% |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 11–0 | H2 12:06 | 19% → 0% |
| VMI Keydets | 8–0 | H2 4:39 | 0% → 4% |