Furman Paladins 75, The Citadel Bulldogs 77
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: The Citadel Bulldogs
The Citadel Bulldogs defeated Furman Paladins 77–75 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 14:55 swung win probability 56% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Furman Paladins lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furman Paladins | 40 | 27 | 8 | 75 |
| The Citadel Bulldogs | 28 | 39 | 10 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 14:55 swung win probability 56% → 83%.
Why Furman Paladins lost
- Lost H2 27-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 4:50 (win probability 2% → 28% for the home side).
- Shot 47.7% eFG vs a 55.2% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 23-13 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel Bulldogs | 9–0 | H1 14:55 | 56% → 83% |
| The Citadel Bulldogs | 8–0 | H2 9:14 | 0% → 7% |
| The Citadel Bulldogs | 10–0 | H2 4:50 | 2% → 28% |