East Tennessee State Buccaneers 76, Samford Bulldogs 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: East Tennessee State Buccaneers
East Tennessee State Buccaneers defeated Samford Bulldogs 76–75 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 14:03 swung win probability 58% → 28%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Samford Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 38 | 38 | 76 |
| Samford Bulldogs | 31 | 44 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 14:03 swung win probability 58% → 28%.
Why Samford Bulldogs lost
- Lost H1 31-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 14:03 (win probability 58% → 28% for the home side).
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 8–0 | H1 14:03 | 58% → 28% |