Mercer Bears 77, VMI Keydets 67
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated VMI Keydets 77–67 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 18:41 swung win probability 30% → 73%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why VMI Keydets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 36 | 41 | 77 |
| VMI Keydets | 33 | 34 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 18:41 swung win probability 30% → 73%.
Why VMI Keydets lost
- Lost H2 34-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Outscored 18-3 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 22-11.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI Keydets | 9–0 | H2 18:41 | 30% → 73% |