The Citadel Bulldogs 66, UNC Greensboro Spartans 69
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: UNC Greensboro Spartans
UNC Greensboro Spartans defeated The Citadel Bulldogs 69–66 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 20-0 road team run ending at H1 4:46 swung win probability 85% → 16%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why The Citadel Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel Bulldogs | 33 | 29 | 4 | 66 |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 19 | 43 | 7 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 20-0 road team run ending at H1 4:46 swung win probability 85% → 16%.
Why The Citadel Bulldogs lost
- Lost H2 29-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 9:46 (win probability 22% → 63% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-8.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel Bulldogs | 20–0 | H1 4:46 | 85% → 16% |
| The Citadel Bulldogs | 8–0 | H2 19:46 | 28% → 5% |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 8–0 | H2 9:46 | 22% → 63% |