VMI Keydets 48, Furman Paladins 69
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Furman Paladins
Furman Paladins defeated VMI Keydets 69–48 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 21-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 5:50 swung win probability 47% → 80%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why VMI Keydets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI Keydets | 27 | 21 | 48 |
| Furman Paladins | 34 | 35 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 5:50 swung win probability 47% → 80%.
Why VMI Keydets lost
- Lost H2 21-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H2 14:34 (win probability 88% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 34.8% eFG vs a 49.0% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Furman Paladins | 8–0 | H1 14:33 | 47% → 76% |
| VMI Keydets | 8–0 | H1 8:03 | 79% → 47% |
| Furman Paladins | 8–0 | H1 5:50 | 47% → 80% |
| Furman Paladins | 8–0 | H2 19:39 | 68% → 94% |
| Furman Paladins | 13–0 | H2 14:34 | 88% → 100% |
| Furman Paladins | 8–0 | H2 1:37 | 100% → 100% |