Western Carolina Catamounts 77, Samford Bulldogs 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: Samford Bulldogs
Samford Bulldogs defeated Western Carolina Catamounts 82–77 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 8:22 swung win probability 49% → 5%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Carolina Catamounts lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 38 | 39 | 77 |
| Samford Bulldogs | 34 | 48 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 8:22 swung win probability 49% → 5%.
Why Western Carolina Catamounts lost
- Lost H2 39-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H1 4:53 (win probability 5% → 42% for the home side).
- Shot 45.1% eFG vs a 51.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 11–0 | H1 14:29 | 62% → 22% |
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 9–0 | H1 8:31 | 26% → 5% |
| Samford Bulldogs | 14–0 | H1 4:53 | 5% → 42% |
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 8–0 | H2 8:22 | 49% → 5% |