Chattanooga Mocs 71, VMI Keydets 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: VMI Keydets
VMI Keydets defeated Chattanooga Mocs 79–71 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 16-0 road team run ending at H2 9:17 swung win probability 100% → 76%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Chattanooga Mocs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Mocs | 23 | 48 | 71 |
| VMI Keydets | 39 | 40 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 road team run ending at H2 9:17 swung win probability 100% → 76%.
Why Chattanooga Mocs lost
- Lost H1 23-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 0:08 (win probability 88% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 47.2% eFG vs a 55.1% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI Keydets | 10–0 | H1 0:08 | 88% → 99% |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 16–0 | H2 9:17 | 100% → 76% |