Samford Bulldogs 82, UNC Greensboro Spartans 89
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: UNC Greensboro Spartans
UNC Greensboro Spartans defeated Samford Bulldogs 89–82 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 15:49 swung win probability 62% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Samford Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samford Bulldogs | 35 | 47 | 82 |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 43 | 46 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 15:49 swung win probability 62% → 90%.
Why Samford Bulldogs lost
- Lost H1 35-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 15:49 (win probability 62% → 90% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 6-2.
- Outscored 22-14 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 10–0 | H1 15:49 | 62% → 90% |
| Samford Bulldogs | 9–0 | H1 8:25 | 91% → 65% |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 8–0 | H1 2:18 | 68% → 93% |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 9–0 | H2 16:56 | 85% → 99% |