East Tennessee State Buccaneers 74, The Citadel Bulldogs 49
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: East Tennessee State Buccaneers
East Tennessee State Buccaneers defeated The Citadel Bulldogs 74–49 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Men's play, a 25-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H1 7:06 swung win probability 69% → 23%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why The Citadel Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 40 | 34 | 74 |
| The Citadel Bulldogs | 23 | 26 | 49 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H1 7:06 swung win probability 69% → 23%.
Why The Citadel Bulldogs lost
- Lost H1 23-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 3:44 (win probability 0% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 39.4% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-11.
- Outscored 16-8 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 11–0 | H1 7:06 | 69% → 23% |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 10–0 | H1 2:40 | 26% → 3% |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 12–0 | H2 3:44 | 0% → 0% |