Mercer Bears 72, Furman Paladins 74
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Furman Paladins
Furman Paladins defeated Mercer Bears 74–72 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 5:37 swung win probability 82% → 51%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercer Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 35 | 37 | 72 |
| Furman Paladins | 36 | 38 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 5:37 swung win probability 82% → 51%.
Why Mercer Bears lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 17:11 (win probability 64% → 93% for the home side).
- Shot 46.4% eFG vs a 53.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 8–0 | H1 5:37 | 82% → 51% |
| Furman Paladins | 8–0 | H2 17:11 | 64% → 93% |