Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 76, Cal Poly Mustangs 108
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Cal Poly Mustangs
Cal Poly Mustangs defeated Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 108–76 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 32-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at H1 2:04 swung win probability 68% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 41 | 35 | 76 |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 62 | 46 | 108 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at H1 2:04 swung win probability 68% → 99%.
Why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost
- Lost H1 41-62 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at H1 2:04 (win probability 68% → 99% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 18-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 15–0 | H1 2:04 | 68% → 99% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 9–0 | H2 18:55 | 98% → 100% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 9–0 | H2 16:57 | 100% → 100% |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 9–0 | H2 4:41 | 100% → 100% |