UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 79, Cal Poly Mustangs 89
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Cal Poly Mustangs
Cal Poly Mustangs defeated UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 89–79 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 14:14 swung win probability 30% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Santa Barbara Gauchos lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 46 | 33 | 79 |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 37 | 52 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 14:14 swung win probability 30% → 83%.
Why UC Santa Barbara Gauchos lost
- Lost H2 33-52 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 14:14 (win probability 30% → 83% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 10–0 | H1 8:36 | 72% → 31% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 8–0 | H2 17:33 | 9% → 37% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 10–0 | H2 14:14 | 30% → 83% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 8–0 | H2 10:58 | 44% → 89% |