Cal State Northridge Matadors 97, Cal Poly Mustangs 96
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Cal State Northridge Matadors
Cal State Northridge Matadors defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 97–96 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 2:03 swung win probability 60% → 19%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 52 | 45 | 97 |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 48 | 48 | 96 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 2:03 swung win probability 60% → 19%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 17:41 (win probability 43% → 3% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 10-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 8–0 | H1 17:54 | 55% → 81% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 8–0 | H1 12:46 | 84% → 57% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 9–0 | H1 2:03 | 60% → 19% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 12–0 | H2 17:41 | 43% → 3% |