UC Davis Aggies 76, Long Beach State Beach 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: UC Davis Aggies
UC Davis Aggies defeated Long Beach State Beach 76–70 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 1:01 swung win probability 75% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Long Beach State Beach lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 31 | 31 | 14 | 76 |
| Long Beach State Beach | 34 | 28 | 8 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 1:01 swung win probability 75% → 0%.
Why Long Beach State Beach lost
- Lost OT 8-14 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 6:05 (win probability 74% → 24% for the home side).
- Shot 45.6% eFG vs a 51.4% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 24-8 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 8–0 | H2 6:05 | 74% → 24% |
| UC Davis Aggies | 8–0 | OT 1:01 | 75% → 0% |