Cal Poly Mustangs 58, UC Davis Aggies 67
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: UC Davis Aggies
UC Davis Aggies defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 67–58 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 4:18 swung win probability 10% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 22 | 36 | 58 |
| UC Davis Aggies | 21 | 46 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 4:18 swung win probability 10% → 90%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Lost H2 36-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 4:18 (win probability 10% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 38.6% eFG vs a 51.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 19-15.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 11–0 | H2 4:18 | 10% → 90% |