UC Davis Aggies 78, Cal State Northridge Matadors 94
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Cal State Northridge Matadors
Cal State Northridge Matadors defeated UC Davis Aggies 94–78 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Men's play, a 16-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 18:04 swung win probability 26% → 78%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Davis Aggies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 48 | 30 | 78 |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 44 | 50 | 94 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 18:04 swung win probability 26% → 78%.
Why UC Davis Aggies lost
- Lost H2 30-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 18:04 (win probability 26% → 78% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 9–0 | H1 10:26 | 31% → 65% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 11–0 | H2 18:04 | 26% → 78% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 9–0 | H2 12:26 | 63% → 96% |