Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 81, UC Davis Aggies 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners defeated UC Davis Aggies 81–79 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 6:36 swung win probability 56% → 5%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Davis Aggies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 40 | 41 | 81 |
| UC Davis Aggies | 39 | 40 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 6:36 swung win probability 56% → 5%.
Why UC Davis Aggies lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 4:39 (win probability 85% → 51% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 14-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 9–0 | H1 4:39 | 85% → 51% |
| UC Davis Aggies | 9–0 | H2 17:13 | 43% → 85% |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 8–0 | H2 6:36 | 56% → 5% |