UC Davis Aggies 69, UC Irvine Anteaters 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: UC Irvine Anteaters
UC Irvine Anteaters defeated UC Davis Aggies 79–69 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 1:34 swung win probability 32% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Davis Aggies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 38 | 27 | 4 | 69 |
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 28 | 37 | 14 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 1:34 swung win probability 32% → 100%.
Why UC Davis Aggies lost
- Lost H2 27-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 8:42 (win probability 22% → 69% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-6 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 10-5.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 8–0 | H1 10:49 | 66% → 35% |
| UC Davis Aggies | 8–0 | H1 6:57 | 61% → 30% |
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 9–0 | H2 8:42 | 22% → 69% |
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 8–0 | OT 1:34 | 32% → 100% |