UC Irvine Anteaters 73, Cal Poly Mustangs 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Cal Poly Mustangs
Cal Poly Mustangs defeated UC Irvine Anteaters 79–73 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 15-0 road team run ending at H1 3:04 swung win probability 68% → 9%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Irvine Anteaters lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 42 | 31 | 73 |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 29 | 50 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 road team run ending at H1 3:04 swung win probability 68% → 9%.
Why UC Irvine Anteaters lost
- Lost H2 31-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 12:05 (win probability 32% → 65% for the home side).
- Shot 45.0% eFG vs a 50.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 10–0 | H1 15:29 | 69% → 32% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 9–0 | H1 12:05 | 32% → 65% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 9–0 | H1 9:58 | 57% → 87% |
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 9–0 | H1 7:35 | 89% → 60% |
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 15–0 | H1 3:04 | 68% → 9% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 8–0 | H2 13:08 | 20% → 63% |