Cal Poly Mustangs 64, UC San Diego Tritons 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: UC San Diego Tritons
UC San Diego Tritons defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 80–64 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 16-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at H1 7:55 swung win probability 43% → 87%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 24 | 40 | 64 |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 42 | 38 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at H1 7:55 swung win probability 43% → 87%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Lost H1 24-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H1 7:55 (win probability 43% → 87% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 15-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 13–0 | H1 7:55 | 43% → 87% |