UC San Diego Tritons 64, Cal State Northridge Matadors 81
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Cal State Northridge Matadors
Cal State Northridge Matadors defeated UC San Diego Tritons 81–64 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at H2 19:25 swung win probability 68% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC San Diego Tritons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 28 | 36 | 64 |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 41 | 40 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at H2 19:25 swung win probability 68% → 99%.
Why UC San Diego Tritons lost
- Lost H1 28-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at H2 19:25 (win probability 68% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 40.0% eFG vs a 52.8% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 18-8 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 15–0 | H2 19:25 | 68% → 99% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 14–0 | H2 14:52 | 99% → 74% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 8–0 | H2 11:11 | 80% → 99% |