Cal State Northridge Matadors 84, UC San Diego Tritons 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Cal State Northridge Matadors
Cal State Northridge Matadors defeated UC San Diego Tritons 84–79 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 19:46 swung win probability 45% → 11%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC San Diego Tritons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 39 | 45 | 84 |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 30 | 49 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 19:46 swung win probability 45% → 11%.
Why UC San Diego Tritons lost
- Lost H1 30-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 19:46 (win probability 45% → 11% for the home side).
- Shot 48.5% eFG vs a 52.8% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 8–0 | H2 19:46 | 45% → 11% |