UC San Diego Tritons 65, Cal Poly Mustangs 67
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: Cal Poly Mustangs
Cal Poly Mustangs defeated UC San Diego Tritons 67–65 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 11:35 swung win probability 78% → 49%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC San Diego Tritons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 42 | 23 | 65 |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 39 | 28 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 11:35 swung win probability 78% → 49%.
Why UC San Diego Tritons lost
- Shot 41.5% eFG vs a 52.8% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 8–0 | H1 11:35 | 78% → 49% |