Incarnate Word Cardinals 67, UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-05 · Winner: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros defeated Incarnate Word Cardinals 80–67 on 2026-01-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 13-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 5:09 swung win probability 64% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Incarnate Word Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 44 | 36 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 5:09 swung win probability 64% → 99%.
Why Incarnate Word Cardinals lost
- Lost H1 29-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 3:26 (win probability 88% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 40.2% eFG vs a 52.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 8–0 | H1 3:26 | 88% → 98% |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 8–0 | H2 5:09 | 64% → 99% |