Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 76, Incarnate Word Cardinals 68
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-02 · Winner: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks defeated Incarnate Word Cardinals 76–68 on 2026-03-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 0:18 swung win probability 66% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Incarnate Word Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 28 | 48 | 76 |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 26 | 42 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 0:18 swung win probability 66% → 0%.
Why Incarnate Word Cardinals lost
- Lost H2 42-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 0:18 (win probability 66% → 0% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 8–0 | H1 5:09 | 60% → 25% |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 11–0 | H2 13:35 | 15% → 69% |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 9–0 | H2 0:18 | 66% → 0% |