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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 78, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 68

NCAA Men's · 2026-02-16 · Winner: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks defeated Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 78–68 on 2026-02-16 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 15-0 road team run ending at H1 6:00 swung win probability 33% → 1%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks374178
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders165268

Win probability

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 15-0 road team run ending at H1 6:00 swung win probability 33% → 1%.
Why Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks15–0H1 6:0033% → 1%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders10–0H2 15:060% → 5%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders8–0H2 8:231% → 14%

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