Incarnate Word Cardinals 46, Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 56
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-12 · Winner: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks defeated Incarnate Word Cardinals 56–46 on 2026-01-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 9:37 swung win probability 53% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Incarnate Word Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 19 | 27 | 46 |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 28 | 28 | 56 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 9:37 swung win probability 53% → 84%.
Why Incarnate Word Cardinals lost
- Lost H1 19-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 9:37 (win probability 53% → 84% for the home side).
- Shot 32.7% eFG vs a 52.1% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 9–0 | H1 9:37 | 53% → 84% |