Northwestern State Demons 74, Incarnate Word Cardinals 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Incarnate Word Cardinals
Incarnate Word Cardinals defeated Northwestern State Demons 76–74 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 13:13 swung win probability 35% → 69%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northwestern State Demons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern State Demons | 34 | 40 | 74 |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 30 | 46 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 13:13 swung win probability 35% → 69%.
Why Northwestern State Demons lost
- Lost H2 40-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 13:13 (win probability 35% → 69% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 9–0 | H1 13:13 | 35% → 69% |