Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 78, Northwestern State Demons 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Northwestern State Demons
Northwestern State Demons defeated Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 79–78 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 2:31 swung win probability 18% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 40 | 38 | 78 |
| Northwestern State Demons | 36 | 43 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 2:31 swung win probability 18% → 97%.
Why Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 2:31 (win probability 18% → 97% for the home side).
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern State Demons | 9–0 | H2 2:31 | 18% → 97% |