Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 74, Northwestern State Demons 64
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks defeated Northwestern State Demons 74–64 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 12:29 swung win probability 72% → 34%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northwestern State Demons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 37 | 37 | 74 |
| Northwestern State Demons | 31 | 33 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 12:29 swung win probability 72% → 34%.
Why Northwestern State Demons lost
- Lost H1 31-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 12:29 (win probability 72% → 34% for the home side).
- Shot 45.3% eFG vs a 49.4% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 10–0 | H1 12:29 | 72% → 34% |
| Northwestern State Demons | 8–0 | H2 19:49 | 12% → 38% |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 9–0 | H2 15:06 | 42% → 6% |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 8–0 | H2 3:16 | 3% → 0% |