Nicholls Colonels 78, Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 81
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks defeated Nicholls Colonels 81–78 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at H1 15:39 swung win probability 40% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nicholls Colonels lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 34 | 44 | 78 |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 39 | 42 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at H1 15:39 swung win probability 40% → 84%.
Why Nicholls Colonels lost
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H1 15:39 (win probability 40% → 84% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-3.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 13–0 | H1 15:39 | 40% → 84% |
| Nicholls Colonels | 8–0 | H1 10:22 | 84% → 57% |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 8–0 | H2 18:55 | 60% → 90% |
| Nicholls Colonels | 8–0 | H2 16:04 | 90% → 58% |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 8–0 | H2 12:08 | 74% → 98% |