Nicholls Colonels 61, Northwestern State Demons 58
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-02 · Winner: Nicholls Colonels
Nicholls Colonels defeated Northwestern State Demons 61–58 on 2026-02-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 9:21 swung win probability 6% → 56%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northwestern State Demons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 34 | 27 | 61 |
| Northwestern State Demons | 20 | 38 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 9:21 swung win probability 6% → 56%.
Why Northwestern State Demons lost
- Lost H1 20-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 11:39 (win probability 43% → 11% for the home side).
- Shot 41.2% eFG vs a 49.4% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 10–0 | H1 11:39 | 43% → 11% |
| Northwestern State Demons | 8–0 | H2 11:21 | 1% → 12% |
| Northwestern State Demons | 10–0 | H2 9:21 | 6% → 56% |